U.S. and China: Tag Team Banking

Sometimes the most innocuous appearing activity can have much broader meaning. This year’s annual strategic and economic meeting between the U.S. and China involving U.S. Secretaries’ Clinton and Geithner, Fed Chief Bernanke and China’s Vice Prem…

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SFO Daily: Chinese Renminbi Poised For Move Lower

Last week’s economic data out of China came in weaker than anticipated, raising expectations that the Peoples Bank of China will be easing in within the year. In fact China lowered its reserve requirement this weakened  by 50 basis points and ma…

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SFO Daily: Forex Traders Reach For Yield in Fourth World Currencies

As interest rates have converged (both central bank official rates and bond yields), trading volumes in the forex markets have declined. Tighter trading ranges have ensued with a sharp drop in volatility. One possible reason for this that many central …

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SFO Daily: Euro And Dollar Locked In Ugly Contest

The euro continues to trade in a tight range of 1.3000 to 1.3500. This coiling action has many traders shaking their heads.Given all of the recent events highlighting the long standing crisis in Europe, be it budget, financial or politically related, t…

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SFO Daily: Borrow In Yen, Chalk Up Real’s 9% Rates

Buying the Brazilian real/Japanese yen (BRL/JPY) cross looks attract at current levels. Why? Let’s take a look at underlying fundamentals for both currencies. JAPAN ACTIONThe Japanese yen has been steadily strengthening, up 3.5% in late March as Japane…

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SFO Daily: Intraday Plays on Aussie Crosses

Relative quiet in the currency markets the day after Easter. Despite the expected selloff in equities at the U.S. open on Monday, the currency markets generally lacked follow-through across the board. YEN RACKING UP GAINSLook for consolidation this wee…

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SFO Daily: Is the Aussie Actually Undervalued?

The month of March was not kind to currencies Down Under. The Aussie dollar plunged over 4.3% in March, but looking at the fundamentals—is that sell-off justified? NEGATIVE FACTORSMuch of the pressure on the currency can be attributed to the followin…

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SFO Daily: With China Weakening, Is Japan Better Positioned To Compete In Global Exports?

When the Bank of Japan (BOJ) met in February they joined a select and growing group of central banks around the world that have adopted soft monetary policies. In a surprise move the BOJ doubled their asset purchases and increased their inflation targe…

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Forex Trading: A Move Lower in the AUD/MXN Looks Imminent

After the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged signs of strength in the U.S. economy but failed to mention another round of quantitative easing.  The U.S. economy has been stead…

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Forex Trading: A Move Lower in the AUD/MXN Looks Imminent

After the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged signs of strength in the U.S. economy but failed to mention another round of quantitative easing.  The U.S. economy has been stead…

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